Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.025231 0.027421 0.029712 0.032289 0.035108 0.038099 0.041517
2025-07-20 0.021543 0.024684 0.028159 0.032296 0.037095 0.042496 0.049049
2025-07-27 0.019256 0.022945 0.027201 0.032489 0.038900 0.046445 0.056030
2025-08-03 0.017372 0.021363 0.026126 0.032250 0.039947 0.049343 0.061744
2025-08-10 0.016145 0.020401 0.025629 0.032556 0.041541 0.052865 0.068321
2025-08-17 0.014821 0.019175 0.024661 0.032124 0.042074 0.054975 0.073113
2025-08-24 0.013649 0.018037 0.023693 0.031571 0.042340 0.056667 0.077364
2025-08-31 0.012736 0.017162 0.022988 0.031284 0.042891 0.058706 0.082142
2025-09-07 0.011950 0.016397 0.022368 0.031043 0.043449 0.060736 0.086972
2025-09-14 0.011281 0.015745 0.021848 0.030888 0.044084 0.062868 0.092030
2025-09-21 0.010611 0.015046 0.021213 0.030515 0.044356 0.064455 0.096336
2025-09-28 0.010151 0.014615 0.020928 0.030617 0.045308 0.067062 0.102303
2025-10-05 0.009646 0.014113 0.020539 0.030586 0.046122 0.069607 0.108506
2025-10-12 0.009207 0.013685 0.020240 0.030674 0.047128 0.072519 0.115520
2025-10-19 0.008834 0.013331 0.020025 0.030869 0.048300 0.075740 0.123233
2025-10-26 0.008387 0.012838 0.019565 0.030645 0.048775 0.077857 0.129233
2025-11-02 0.008098 0.012572 0.019438 0.030935 0.050085 0.081389 0.137840
2025-11-09 0.007673 0.012066 0.018904 0.030526 0.050206 0.082937 0.143095
2025-11-16 0.007255 0.011549 0.018322 0.030002 0.050091 0.084064 0.147653
2025-11-23 0.006919 0.011148 0.017908 0.029731 0.050382 0.085886 0.153559
2025-11-30 0.006616 0.010785 0.017535 0.029503 0.050727 0.087808 0.159757
2025-12-07 0.006349 0.010468 0.017220 0.029356 0.051199 0.089970 0.166528
2025-12-14 0.006060 0.010100 0.016802 0.029003 0.051274 0.091407 0.171992